Strategic planning and optimisation of resources

Project information

Our aim is to support global policy makers and countries decision makers in relation to national and international planning and strategy development, using models to evaluate the most appropriate and cost-effective use of available resources in the implementation of control measures for regions in a wide variety of transmission settings along the path towards elimination.
To facilitate these goals the group has developed a framework for modelling complex policy scenarios. Global- and national-scale scenarios are built up from subnational simulations capturing the spatial heterogeneity in malaria transmission and allowing detailed policy options, such as subnational targeting of interventions, to be explored.
This framework was initially designed to support the development of a Global Technical Strategy for Malaria (GTS) for the 2016-2025 period by the WHO Global Malaria Programme. This strategy document articulates the vision and goals for malaria over the next decade and brings together current policy recommendations in a comprehensive, evidence-based strategy for WHO Member States to use in developing their own strategies, wherever they are along the pathway to elimination.

Since its inception, the framework has been refined and updated and has been used to support a number of impactful projects, these include:

1. A recent update to the GTS, supporting the WHO Global Malaria Programme.
2. Contribution to two successful Global Fund replenishment calls (where a total of more than US$26 billion was pledged to fight malaria, AIDS and tuberculosis), and current use to inform the latest Global Fund investment case for the period 2024-2026.
3. Modelling to assess the optimal use of the RTS,S malaria vaccine and to support the malaria vaccine implementation programme (MVIP) in collaboration with the WHO Global Malaria Programme and PATH.

Recent publications

Hogan AB, Winskill P, Ghani AC (2020) Estimated impact of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine allocation strategies in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study, PLoS Medicine,.

Winskill P, Mousa A, Oresanya O, Counihan H, Okell L, Walker P. Does integrated community case management (iCCM) target health inequities and treatment delays? Evidence from an analysis of Demographic and Health Surveys data from 21 countries in the period 2010 to 2018. (2020) JoGH.

Winskill, P., Walker, P. G., Griffin, J. T., & Ghani, A. C. (2017). Modelling the cost-effectiveness of introducing the RTS,S malaria vaccine relative to scaling up other malaria interventions in sub-Saharan Africa. BMJ Global Health, 2(1), e000090. Publisher’s link.