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@article{Few:2017:10.3390/en10020158,
author = {Few, SPM and Gambhir, A and Napp, T and Hawkes, A and Mangeon, S and Bernie, D and Lowe, J},
doi = {10.3390/en10020158},
journal = {Energies},
title = {The impact of shale gas on the cost and feasibility of meeting climate targets - a global energy system model analysis and an exploration of uncertainties},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10020158},
volume = {10},
year = {2017}
}
TY - JOUR
AB - There exists considerable uncertainty over both shaleand conventional gas resource availability and extraction costs, as well as the fugitive methane emissions associated with shale gas extractionand its possible role in mitigating climate change. This study uses a multi-region energy system model, TIAM (TIMES Integrated Assessment Model),to consider the impact of a range of conventional and shale gas cost and availability assessments on mitigation scenariosaimed at achieving a limit to global warming of below 2°C in 2100, with a 50% likelihood. When adding shale gas to the global energy mix, the reduction to the global energy system cost is relatively small (up to0.4%), and the mitigation cost increases by 1-3% under all cost assumptions. The impact of a “dash for shale gas”, of unavailability of carbon capture and storage, of increased barriers to investment in low carbon technologies, and of higher than expectedleakage rates, are also considered;andare each found to have the potential to increase the cost and reduce feasibility of meeting globaltemperature goals. We concludethat the extraction of shale gas is not likely to significantly reduce the effort required to mitigate climate change under globallycoordinatedaction, but could increase required mitigation effort if not handled sufficiently carefully.
AU - Few,SPM
AU - Gambhir,A
AU - Napp,T
AU - Hawkes,A
AU - Mangeon,S
AU - Bernie,D
AU - Lowe,J
DO - 10.3390/en10020158
PY - 2017///
SN - 1996-1073
TI - The impact of shale gas on the cost and feasibility of meeting climate targets - a global energy system model analysis and an exploration of uncertainties
T2 - Energies
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10020158
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/44101
VL - 10
ER -
Climate Science
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